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http://www.theclevelandfan.com/article_detail.php?blgId=5301

my take: interesting article about how other Browns teams have fared after slow starts. in '84 we were bad but we still beat pittsburgh, and finished an okay 5-11. not bad, considering all that went on. the only really horrible blowout was a 41-7 loss to the 49ers!

article:
If you think it can't possibly get any worse for the 1-7 Browns, you're, sadly, wrong. It has been worse. Three times prior to this season the Browns have started out 1-7 or worse. When talking about failure and this franchise, there is always a precedent.

Let's look back at the other three seasons in which the Browns started out 1-7 or worse. There's an overview of the bad start (as well as the totality of the season itself), the main theme of the bad start, the bright spots amid the carnage and the aftermath; as in, how the Browns recovered from the bad start, if indeed they recovered at all. Blowouts are games the Browns lost by more than twenty points during the bad start. We'll draw some parallels between the four seasons in question as well.

This isn't an attempt to throw some light from the past upon the darkness of today. It's just a grisly trip in the way-back machine. Climb aboard, if you dare.

1984

Record after eight games: 1-7

Blowouts: One (33-0 @ Seattle, Week One)

Final Record: 5-11

Overview: Sam Rutigliano's head-coaching career was reduced to kindling in a whirlwind of defeat to open the 1984 season. The catalyst for the team's downfall after a promising 9-7 record in 1983 was the disappointing performance of Brian Sipe's successor Paul McDonald. The left-hander from USC passed for 3,472 yards but also threw 23 interceptions, each of which seemed to have devastating consequences for his team. At one point early in the season McDonald threw pick-sixes in three consecutive games. McDonald also fumbled 16 times and was sacked a then-franchise-record 53 times. In all fairness Cleveland's offensive line was a mess after Cody Risien went down with a knee injury in preseason and the receiving corps was one of the worst in the NFL- but McDonald didn't exactly help his own cause either.

Dominant Theme: Close losses. The 1984 Browns were 2-8 in games decided by seven points or less and lost eight games in which they were leading or tied in the fourth quarter- including five in the stretch that got Rutigliano fired and defensive coordinator Marty Schottenheimer elevated in his place. Cleveland finished second in the NFL in total defense in '84 and had a point differential of -47, which is actually pretty decent compared to the 5-11 record. They just couldn't close out games.

Bright Spots: Ozzie Newsome caught 89 passes for 1,001 yards, was first-team All-Pro and accounted for Cleveland's only Pro Bowl invitation. The youthful defense- every starter was 28 or younger- was outstanding, although it had a nasty habit of folding late in games thanks to an inadequate pass rush. The Browns also had a number of first-year players who would make a positive impact in later years, most notably Earnest Byner, Brian Brennan and Frank Minnifield.

After the Bad Start: Under Schottenheimer the Browns went 4-4 in the second half of the 1984 season. The next year they went .500 at 8-8 but still managed to win the first of what would become four AFC Central Division Championships in five years. Within two years of the 1984 disaster the Browns would be one of the premier teams in football.

Verdict: A promising young team sabotaged by a turnover machine at quarterback and a head coach in the throes of a career meltdown.

1999

Record after eight games: 1-7

Blowouts: Two (43-0 vs. Pittsburgh, Week One; 34-3 @ St. Louis, Week Seven.)

Final Record: 2-14

Dominant Theme: Expansion football. First-year teams not named the Carolina Panthers or Jacksonville Jaguars are generally horrendous, and the '99 Browns were no exception. They finished the season ranked dead last in total offense, dead last in total defense, and were outscored by a whopping 220 points. In their first seven games, all losses, the Browns were beaten by an average score of 26-7. The fact that three of those games were against Super Bowl participants St. Louis (13-3) and Tennessee (13-3) and the team with the best record in the NFL, Jacksonville (14-2) didn't help matters. The Browns hadn't even learned to dog-paddle before they were thrown into the deep end of the pool.

Bright Spots: There weren't many. Rookies Tim Couch (15 touchdown passes, 13 interceptions) and Kevin Johnson (66 catches, 986 yards, eight touchdowns) showed promise on the offensive side, but that was pretty much it. No Browns made the Pro Bowl in '99; indeed, the new franchise wouldn't produce a home-grown Pro Bowler until the 2007 season. Of the eleven players selected by Cleveland in the 1999 Draft, only Daylon McCutcheon would still be with the team five years later.

After the Bad Start: Cleveland beat New Orleans in Week Eight on the Tim Couch-to-Kevin Johnson Hail Mary, stunned the Steelers in Three Rivers on Phil Dawson's game-winning field goal two weeks later, then lost its last six games to finish 2-14 and winless at home. Results aside, the Browns did play better football at the end of the 1999 season than they had at the beginning, averaging a respectable 19.6 points in those final six defeats. Any minute progress the team did make was wiped out in 2000, when the Browns went 3-13 and might have been worse than they'd been in '99.

Verdict: An expansion team, with all that implies.

1975

Record after eight games: 0-8

Blowouts: Three (42-10 vs. Minnesota, Week Two; 42-6 vs. Pittsburgh, Week Three; 40-10 vs. Houston, Week Four.)

Final Record: 3-11

Overview: Under first-year head coach Forrest Gregg the Browns got off to the worst start in franchise history on the way to what was at the time the worst season in franchise history. Cleveland lost its first nine games in 1975, including that troika of consecutive home losses listed above. The fracture point was quarterback play- its production on the offensive end and its prevention on the defensive end. Browns quarterbacks, led by the estimable Mike Phipps, combined for seven touchdowns and 23 interceptions. On the other side, a secondary depleted by Thom Darden's season-ending knee injury faced Ken Anderson, Fran Tarkenton, Terry Bradshaw, Bert Jones and Ken Stabler in the first nine weeks.

Dominant Theme: Great opponents. Not many teams in NFL history, good or bad, have played a more formidable schedule than the 1975 Browns. Nine of Cleveland's fourteen opponents finished with ten or more wins: AFC East Champion Baltimore (10-4), AFC West Champion Oakland (11-3), NFC Central Champion Minnesota (12-2) and two each against World Champion Pittsburgh (12-2), wild-card Cincinnati (11-3) and Houston (10-4.) Take away the games against the woeful Browns and the combined winning percentage of Cleveland's 1975 opponents is still .631. The Browns were a bad team in 1975, but the schedule makers didn't do them any favors either.

Bright Spots: Greg Pruitt had his first big year in 1975, rushing for 1,067 yards and scoring nine touchdowns. On the other side of the ball, defensive tackle Jerry Sherk made his third consecutive Pro Bowl, the only Cleveland Brown so honored that season. Wide receiver Reggie Rucker joined the Browns in 1975 and finished second in the NFL with 60 receptions.

After the Bad Start: After starting out 0-9 Cleveland won three of its last five games, including an upset of the playoff-bound Bengals. The next year, bolstered by an improved defense, a more favorable schedule and the emergence of Brian Sipe, the Browns went 9-5. Still, Cleveland wouldn't make a playoff appearance until 1980, by which time Forrest Gregg had long since been replaced by Sam Rutigliano.

Verdict: A team with some solid players (Pruitt, Sherk, Rucker, Clarence Scott, Thom Darden, Doug Dieken) but not nearly enough to overcome terrible quarterback play, a sub-par defense and a ridiculously overloaded schedule. In another conference this team might have achieved mediocrity- but not in the AFC in general or in the Central Division in particular.

*****

First-Year Head Coaches: Three of the four slowest-starting Browns teams were led by first-year coaches, with the exception being the 1984 team under seventh-year coach Sam Rutigliano. Forrest Gregg and Chris Palmer were both on their first NFL head-coaching jobs; Gregg had no head-coaching experience of any kind before taking the Cleveland job while Palmer had amassed four seasons as a small-college coach in the 1980's at the University of New Haven and Boston University. Eric Mangini, of course, spent three years as the head coach of the New York Jets, with middling success.

Poor Quarterback Play: It's said that the NFL is a quarterback's league, and if that's the case, the struggles of the '75, '84, '99 and '09 teams are no mystery. For the most part, the quarterback position on those squads was, and is, a bottomless pit of suck. Mike Phipps, Paul McDonald and Derek Anderson were and are disasters; Tim Couch had decent statistics but was plagued by his own inexperience as well as the ineffectiveness of his supporting case, particularly on the offensive line. (How would you like to have Scott Rehberg protecting your blind side?)

Tough Early Schedules: All four of the teams on this list, including the 2009 team, have faced early schedules that weren't exactly conducive to a club experiencing growing pains. The rugged slates faced by the 1975 and '99 teams have been documented; the 1984 team played its first three games against teams that finished the season with a combined record of 35-13, while the '09 team has also faced tough competition in the early going.

(That's not to make excuses for Eric Mangini's reign of error. No non-expansion NFL team should be getting beat by an average score of 26-9 every time it takes the field. And while the schedule has been tough, it hasn't been that tough. Green Bay and Chicago are eminently flawed.)

Improved Second Halves: Whatever the reasons- roster health and chemistry, a more forgiving schedule or a coaching change- the 1975, '84 and '99 teams all played significantly better in the second half of the season than they had in the first. The 1975 team finished 3-4 after starting 0-7; the 1984 team finished 4-4 after starting 1-7, and while the 1999 team had the same 1-7 record in the last eight games as it had in the first, it was a more competitive squad down the stretch.

Time will tell if the 2009 team follows this trend. I rather doubt it will, although the record may not show it. None of the previous teams on this list had quit on their coach; by all evidence, this one has. With bottom-feeders Kansas City, Jacksonville and Oakland remaining on the schedule there are opportunities to add to that skinny "1" on the win side of the ledger. And frankly, that might not be a good thing. Some cheap wins late this season could very well buy Eric Mangini another season... and I might just be writing this same column this time next year.


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"2009. Stay negative, Brownies suck!" would be more accurate.



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Well...this alone gives Mangini his chance to hang around and prove his meddle and prove whether or not he belongs.

of the final 8 games...3 are within the division. For Mangini to keep his job, i think that we must take 2 of them. the rest of the games are KC, Jax, Detroit, Oakland and SD.

Jacksonville and SD are the only forgivable losses.

the way its gotta go is that Mangini HAS to have his team completely ready to play every game. There is no reason for us to get dominated tonight. We play a reeling Baltimore team whose only win since us was Denver. its been shown how to rattle Flacco now, and force him into mistakes...we have to follow that blueprint.

We have to look very solid. If it is indeed true that the team has quit on Mangini, then what needs to be done...is players needs to start finding the bench. a Shaun Rogers that doesnt want to play for Mangini wont be as good as an Ahtyba Rubin playing his heart out. A given-up Jamal Lewis wont be as good as even Cedric Peerman (even though i think hes gone). anyone who has given up should find some bench, and pink slips.

Even if Joe Thomas has given up on Mangini...then Mangini should have no reason to play him. Obviously thats an extreme case, and i can almost assuredly say Thomas wouldnt do that. but...if so, I'm sure a hard working Billy Yates would be able to play comparable to a given up Joe Thomas.

Mangini has to find a combination of players that are going to go all out all the time to make us competitive. If it involves Furrey and Cribbs going 2-ways...fine. If we have to give Eric Wright snaps at WR...whatever. He has to show that hes willing to do whatever it takes to field a competitive team.

If i see a team thats quit...and i see the same lineup on the field. I wont have faith in him. but if i see Shaun Rogers out there getting blown off the snap constantly and then i see Rubin in there...ill be pleased with Mangini. If i see Corey Williams playing awful, he better not see many more snaps.

These are guys that are playing for paychecks. If they give up on you...then they shouldnt be getting snaps, or they should be inactive.

This is Mangini's team...and he better make every effort to field a truly competitive team. And he better have sound gameplans, and he and Daboll better find a way to move the offense for the rest of this season.


If we come around and look competitive in EVERY division game from here on out...ill give Mangini a stay of execution. Since he's still here, you gotta give him a chance. I thought we shoulda dumped him with Kokinis, but if hes here still...he has a chance IMO...so, he better take this chance and prove he belongs.


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I get the feeling (based on nothing in partiular) that no matter what Mangini does, he's gone at the end of the year.

JMO however,, not a thing to back it up..


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I would agree for the simple fact that whoever we bring in will not take the job unless they have the power to bring in their own coach.



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Quote:

of the final 8 games...3 are within the division. For Mangini to keep his job, i think that we must take 2 of them. the rest of the games are KC, Jax, Detroit, Oakland and SD.





2 wins in the division? Cincy and Pittsburgh could very well have home playoff games, reflecting excellent seasons.

I think he has to win 3 of the final 8 to keep his job - division results don't play a part, unless he defeats the Steelers. If that happens, he writes his ticket through next season.

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I read that and I still dont feel any better....

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yea that makes sense...

but...2 wins out of the 3 games left...2 are at home and on national tv. these are two games that the team has to realize are must-wins. not for the fact that itll get us into the playoffs...but confidence and a blueprint for the future.

If we get swept in the division again...what confidence can we possibly have going into next year...this is a point where we have to earn some wins in the division. its time to stop being a doorstep and it can stop tonight. if we fight baltimore hard and lose....what does it say. we cant beat em. we have to win some of these games.

Pittsburgh is reeling again because Troy is out...every game v. the Steelers with Polomalu on the ideline is winnable.

Cincy is a team we took to the brink...and if Ced Benson is hurt for any amount of time, and with Chris Henry down...theyre beatable.

Baltimore has lost more games than anyone else in the division (barring us of course) and are very beatable. We gotta win some of these games...especially with Pitt and Baltimore at home. those are the games you win if youre competitive. and we have to be for mangini to keep his job.

like the Buffalo game...what would beating Oakland or KC or Detroit really prove? nothing. winning those games wouldnt prove anything to me except that Oakland and KC and Detroit are worse than us...not that we are markedly better.

the games that Mangini should be judged on are really Pitt, Baltimore, Cincy, Jacksonville, and SD...

those are the games that if we are heading in the right direction...we should be in until the 4th quarter at worse...and with many of them at home...they should result in some Ws...


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Quote:

I get the feeling (based on nothing in partiular) that no matter what Mangini does, he's gone at the end of the year.

JMO however,, not a thing to back it up..




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Quote:

Pittsburgh is reeling again because Troy is out...every game v. the Steelers with Polomalu on the ideline is winnable.

Cincy is a team we took to the brink...and if Ced Benson is hurt for any amount of time, and with Chris Henry down...theyre beatable.

Baltimore has lost more games than anyone else in the division (barring us of course) and are very beatable.




You have some nice confidence. But, as 10.5-point underdogs at home against the most beatable of the bunch, it's a tough row to hoe.

In the end, I suppose you are right. If Mangini wins 2 of the division games, he has a good chance of returning (depending on the GM decision).

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I still contend that Mangini doesn't have to win anything to stay... it's all going to come down the football operations hire and whether that guy thinks he can work with him or not...


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Quote:

I still contend that Mangini doesn't have to win anything to stay... it's all going to come down the football operations hire and whether that guy thinks he can work with him or not...




Or what the NFLPA digs up on him this coming Wednesday.


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spider i dont think its so much confidence...its more like. At this pont in time. if our team was making the improvement that we all hoped for and expected by this time this year...this would be exactly what we would be expecting/hoping for.

i think that if mangini is doing his job these are expectations that we can and should be looking for. 2nd tie around v. the division we should play much much better, and we looked good against Cincy and decent against Pitt, and terrible against Baltimore.

i dont find it unreasonable to expect improvement after the bye and after the 1st go around v. the division.

If we're to become an uper echelon team at any point in time...using KC, Detroit, and Oakland as a measuring stick is stupid. We have to take our division, and lucky for us theyre all good...if you can win games in our division, you can win games outside our division. so if we can look inward, and take out a couple of our rivals then we have a chance to look great going forward (comparatively to earlier of course)

its not like confidence. its what i think Mangini needs to do to gain the confidence of the fan base and anyone who may come in to lead the football operations.


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Bengals aren't dumb. They got Larry Johnson, plus Bo whatshisface sliced his way through the Steelers D the other day. Why can't we get Harrison to run through the Steelers?


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