I have no problem with going for it based on the statistical evidence. In many cases it's the right call. We have made many 4th down calls and stayed alive over the last few years where in years past we and other teams punted.
It still doesn't, nor can it take in to account game situations. That is where the individual coach has to weigh the pro's and cons of going for it on 4th down.
If you are punting on 4th down pretty much no matter what, that is wrong. If you are going for it every time in situations where your chart says to go for it, that is wrong. This isn't like playing blackjack where if you are good you know when the odds are in your favor. Nothing really changes that. In football there are things like momentum that do come in to play.
I guess it was the last game. We went for it early in the game on the 3 yard line. Everything may have pointed towards going for it, but it didn't take in to account the importance of scoring first. Somewhere in the stats it has to show that the team who scores first has a better chance of winning. I have to believe that until someone can show me differently.
That was the one time we went for it where I totally disagreed with the decision. I was fine with all the others. I am no analytics guru, but I think the stats show that 3+3=6. In a game where points add up, it seems to me that when you add points to your total, it has to have some impact on the opponents analytical chart on how they have to go about managing their game.
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